When a lawsuit bankrupted a business partner, Alper Ozgit went looking for a question that could get the Supreme Court’s attention. What he found would foreshadow one of the most consequential legal fights now unfolding.
 

Predictable is a fascinating time machine, moving between the birth of futures markets in the early 1900s and the present where sports gambling has rapidly embedded itself into everyday life. Part historian, part legal strategist, Ozgit pulls back the curtain on the burgeoning prediction market industry that borrows from the past to sell itself as the future.

He challenges prevailing assumptions, exposes inconsistencies, and reveals alternative outcomes. Along the way, he examines the institutions central to the fight: Lawmakers who have legislated loosely, a regulator that has failed to act, and courts dealing with an overly narrow question.

Drawing on personal experience and original insights, Predictable shows how we got here—and what likely comes next.